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In an effort to move beyond the focus on the immediate threat of large-scale conflict, this report (2012) explores what type of state can realistically be expected to materialise in South Sudan in the short and medium term, given existing political economy and security constraints. It also discusses what this assessment implies for donor engagement. Download

South Sudan’s fragility assessment aims to provide a first, and still limited, overview of progress, challenges and priority actions to help the country advance towards resilience. It should be understood as a qualitative rather than quantitative exercise, intended to contribute to an improved understanding of fragility Download

The subject of youth and their role in violent conflict continues to shape African social science research; hence the need to initiate sustainable preventive measures as youth violence permeates every policy discussion in conflict and post-conflict contexts. The research has focused primarily on the role of youth either as perpetrators or as victims of violence. Several projects have linked increased youth engagement in violence to growing levels of illiteracy, rising unemployment and poverty. These neo-classical…

This discussion paper analyses some of the challenges faced by African rebel groups including the SPLM/A in their transition from liberation movements to political parties governing functioning state structures. Download

This Issue Brief reviews the root causes and impacts of inter-tribal violence in Jonglei between the Lou Nuer and Murle since 2009, with a special focus on attacks by the Lou Nuer throughout Pibor county in December 2011 and January 2012. Download

This report from 2012 aims at providing insight into the realities of local organizations’ existence and operation in South Sudan as well as giving a basic analysis of the influencing factors in South Sudan that steer local organization’s decisions and actions. Download

This is the first Interim Country Strategy Paper (I-CSP) for the Republic of South Sudan (RoSS) for the period 2012-2014, following the country’s independence on 9 July 2011 and its subsequent official admission as member of the Bank Group on 1 June 2012 in Arusha. It will cover both the ADF-12 (2011-13) and partially the ADF-13 (2014-16) cycles. The 2012-2014 I-CSP is the Bank’s medium term strategy that seeks to assist the government in addressing…

This policy brief argues that chiefs play an important role in governance and community life in South Sudan. They provide an array of vital services, from mobilising people for community projects to adjudicating disputes and administering customary law. Sometimes criticised as being an unelected group of old men, they will nevertheless play a vital role in South Sudan’s steps to building viable, effective, local government institutions. This policy brief looks at chiefs and suggests that…

How might less-informed policy-making lead to social injustice? How do the Government of South Sudan’s budgeting decisions impact the delivery of security, health services, and education at the local level? This study from 2012 analyzes institutional data, including government’s approved budgets, educational enrollments, health conditions and mortality rates, in order to map how social accountability and service delivery efforts relate to policy decisions in South Sudan.  

This paper (2012) reviews the recent evolution of the security forces, especially during the last two years. It considers current and evolving threats, including border conflict with the Government of Sudan (GoS), militia and proxy forces, inter- and intra-ethnic fighting, and security force cohesion. It looks at development challenges, including competition for resources and a lack of individual capacity. It also examines outdated mindsets and conflicting priorities. Download

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