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Oil revenues accounted for 98% of fiscal revenues in South Sudan in 2011. South Sudan has recently decided to shut down its oil production, stemming from the lack of agreement post-independence between South Sudan and Sudan regarding oil revenues. The aim of this paper is to evaluate fiscal sustainability in South Sudan. The starting point regarding fiscal revenues is the reserves estimates and production path forecasts provided by the operating oil companies in 2010. This…

Following independence, the question that now interests South Sudanese most is how to govern and unite a country with such immense ethnic diversity and such a troubled history of ethnic conflict. This study, based on 44 focus group discussions conducted from November 3-November 28, 2011, with 545 participants across all 10 states in South Sudan, asked South Sudanese to explore the answer. In it, they provide their thoughts on creating an inclusive and fair government…

This report is based on research conducted in Khartoum, Juba, Washington, and elsewhere in the aftermath of Sudan’s 2011 referendum. It seeks to answer a simple question: Why was the 2011 referendum on the secession of southern Sudan largely peaceful despite predictions for renewed civil war? The report examines possible answers and attempts to formulate lessons for global conflict prevention that may emerge from the peaceful Sudan referendum experience. Download

Customary ownership and control of land is an essential component of any consideration of land tenure and access in South Sudan and Africa in general. Customary traditions of land tenure emphasize moderate use, restoration, and community health and prosperity. Returnees to South Sudan access land primarily through the customary system. Yet, many returnees are subjected to corrupt practices or are simply unaware of their rights both within and beyond the customary systems. Displaced women are…

This report from early 2012 reviews civilian possession of small arms and light weapons (SALW) in South Sudan and processes to control this possession, including civilian disarmament. It begins with an overview of the history of South Sudan, followed by an analysis of the factors that have contributed to SALW proliferation and ultimately a ‘gun culture’ in the country. It then provides an overview of the problems that SALW are currently causing in South Sudan,…

The guide was developed by the Conflict Sensitivity Consortium, a group of 35 humanitarian, development and peacebuilding agencies of which Saferworld is a member. The consortium, a four year initiative funded by UK Aid, was set up to take advantage of members’ collective experience to strengthen their own policy and practice on conflict sensitivity and to develop guidance for the wider sector. The guide provides practical information on how to integrate conflict sensitivity both in…

This paper reviews the immediate security responses following the inter-ethnic violence in Jonglei, December 2011. The paper concludes with a broad assessment of other areas of inter-ethnic violence in South Sudan and analyses whether the potential security responses in Jonglei are also applicable elsewhere, as many may perceive the situation to be the same in other states. Download

We are witnessing a “revolution in the global order” and China is leading this revolution. In the West, analysts and policy makers are grappling with what China’s rise means for international relations and the spectrum of foreign policy concerns. In China itself policy makers are also coming to terms with this new found influence and the responsibilities that come with it. A critical issue will be what happens as China and other rising powers make…

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